PAGASA update: Bagyong Karen (October 14, 2016)

Bulletins and updates on Bagyong Karen, a tropical storm, from state weather bureau PAGASA as of Friday, October 14, 2016 are posted here.

At 5 a.m. today, weather forecasters said the tropical storm has further intensified as it continues to move in a West-Northwest direction.

The eye of Karen was spotted 335 kilometers East of Virac, Catanduanes, packing maximum sustained winds of 75 kilometers per hour near the center and gusts of up to 95 kph. It is moving West Northwest at 13 kph.

Tropical cyclone warning signals have been raised in some areas.

Signal Number 2 (61-120kph expected in 24 hrs): Catanduanes

  • Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;
  • Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
  • No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
  • Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
  • A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
  • Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
  • Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
  • Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
  • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken
  • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken
  • Rice and corn may be adversely affected
  • Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down
  • Wave Height: (Open Sea) 4.1-14.0 meters Storm surge possible at coastal areas

Signal Number 1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs): Polillo Island, Southern Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay and Sorsogon. Northern Samar

  • Very light or no damage to high risk structures,
  • Light damage to medium to low risk structures
  • Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
  • Twigs of small trees may be broken.
  • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage
  • Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters

PAGASA said the estimated amount of rainfall is from moderate to heavy within the 400 km-diameter of the tropical storm.

Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the eastern seaboard of Central and Southern Luzon and over the northern and eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas.

Forecast Positions:

  • 24 Hour( Tomorrow morning): 95 km North Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes
  • 48 Hour(Sunday morning):90 km North of Daet, Camarines Norte
  • 72 Hour(Monday morning): 105 km West Northwest of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
  • 96 Hour(Tuesday morning):480 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR)
  • 120 Hour(Wednesday morning):865 km West of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (OUTSIDE PAR)